The Neighsayers - Wednesday 4th September

 Disappointingly, a blank yesterday with mixed feelings with the two runners. Able Kane been fair and square but happy with the bet & reasoning. Simiyann well he was never really in the race and if he'd been ridden that slight bit more closer to the pace he'd have at least placed. -2 to begin September.

14:02 Bath - Port Hedland

Happy to go in with a favourite here and thought he'd be the one in here that could still have some up his sleeve. Chased a run away leader at Windsor on first start in 9 months and will have had a proper blow there, winner now rated 17lb higher and actually everything bar the horse that finished last has been rated higher in the handicap since then, so would class that as decent form, he's down 2 for that effort aswell. As well as being drawn widest and had to use plenty of energy to get across, was fresh too. So plenty against him there but thought it was more than a fair comeback.

His rivals all come here at the height of their handicaps, Wresting Avenue is a 2x at Brighton and has yet to do it on a more conventional track, same with Soldier's Design and the way he hung last time I'd have concerns about him. Smooth Silesie could be a danger but he'd probably have been beaten last time if he didn't impede Kento, so all in all, I think the price on Port Hedland is more than fair.

Selection - Port Hedland - 2/1 (WH, BF, Paddy, B365) 2pt win


15:32 Bath - Snow Berry

Looks a nice enough each way shape to this bet, with obvious win claims also. I'll start with the rest of the race first, Vanuted backers will know their fate after 50 yard here, she's made a habit of being slowly away and actually chucked Ray Dawson off at Chepstow on Monday. Some Nightmare won less than 24 hours ago and looked to have a hard enough race there whilst having the run of the race too.

The selection has turned a corner over the summer months and ran a cracker when finishing 2nd to a subsequent winner and was against the typical Nottingham pace that day. She showed for me there she's still up to this mark and with the top of the market having serious question marks, she's the bet in this.

Selection - Snow Berry - 15/2 (Boyles, WH, Coral, Lads) 0.5pts E/W



Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

The Neighsayers - Weekly Eye-Catchers 23rd - 29th September 2024

Weekly Eyecatchers 23 rd  – 29 th  September 2024   23 rd  September – 7:30 Wolverhampton    Breccia   Come from miles back here off a muddling pace, was stuck behind a horse who was getting eased off at a crucial stage, should have won imo and should be kept on side over staying trips   25 th  September – 6:00 Kempton    Nuptown Girl    Missed break and was slow into stride, green in rear and was always niggled slightly, race had already developed infront of her but she did run on well under tender handling. Will know much more next time out and could improve further for 7f+   27 th  September  - 8:00 Wolverhampton    Bay Of Naples    Hasn’t won for a while but his run here showed enough to me that he could be winning very soon. Raced pretty fresh here after 1 month off the track, raced handy and just got abit tired late on, will come on bundles for this. 17th October at Southwell f...
Read more

The Neighsayers - Friday 13th September

  No blog yesterday for the first day of the Leger meeting, mainly due to uncertainty around the ground we were getting. We’re back for day 2 though. 15:00 Doncaster - Big Mojo A lot to like about this horses chance today, starting with the drop back to minimum trip, showed his usual pace at York but failed to stay. Looks to be plenty of pace on in here too with Aesterius drawn on his side and then King’s Call, Zayer and Tropical Storm over the other side. If he sit’s just off these and strikes late he should emulate last year’s success for connections with Big Evs. A somewhat shock winner at Goodwood but should that was no fluke when running a good race at York when not staying as I’ve mentioned.  Selection - Big Mojo 5/2 General - 1pt win 16:10 Doncaster - Beatrice Shilling This favourite, Cabrera has to be taken on for me. So will be going in with Beatrice Shilling here. Without getting all cliche, she was doing her best work late at Salisbury and prove she stayed the trip,...
Read more

The Neighsayers - Thursday 5th September

 Nice to get on the board for September yesterday with Snow Berry winning at 15/2 (or 9/1 if you had the luxury), but with the 2pt bet going down it wasn't as good as we'd hoped for, but profit on the day nevertheless. 17:35 Lingfield - Ormolulu Think this is well worth an each way bet now seeing 7 furlongs for the first time and returning to the all-weather. Dropped down in the handicap considerably this year, beginning on 79 and comes here off 70 with the jockey claiming 3. This is the lowest grade of race she's ever contested too, being a 51-70 and now in a fillies only race that can only be a positive too. The favourite takes up a lot of the market here and he's not guaranteed to get his own way in front this time, with Twilight Dancer and Beveragino in the race and I think he's well worth taking on. She was keen in her 3 year old campaign but the hood seemed to have worked the oracle there and hopefully can continue to do so with the slower tempo of a 6 furlong...
Read more