The Neighsayers - The Week Ahead 7/2/24

First of all, can only apologise for the blank week last week, wasn't the greatest weeks racing but we were still happy to bet what we did and that's just the way the cookie crumbled. It had to happen eventually. Also, apologies this is a day late but couldn't be helped.


Wednesday

17:30 Kempton - Fiddler's Elbow

Definition of bumping into one last time, if horses run how they did in maiden/novice events, should get a decent set up. I'd make him clear fav here.

19:00 Kempton - Greatgadian

Ran a belting race last time over 7 furlongs at Southwell, being the only one in the first 5 to make up any ground from the rear and the front 2 were prominent throughout. He's back to his favoured trip today and Oisin booked can only be a positive...

19:30 Kempton - Martini Lodge

Could outrun his huge odds. Has ran well in 2 starts over 7f here, being by Muharaar, the mile trip should suit well. Did have 1 start over a mile in a kempton handicap but that was a 46-65. Today is a 46-55 but when horses are rated as lowly as this, options are thin...

Thursday

16:25 Doncaster 

The previously mentioned Sainitiser goes here after the meeting being abandoned last time we put him up, was well backed in the early prices that day so can’t see the bookies taking many chances but hopefully be odds against At least, should be winning this on his flat form, was a massive eyecatcher on his last start being properly stopped. Hopefully this meeting survives the snow snow forecast Thursday.

16:10 Lingfield - Larado

Is well handicapped on ratings and showed a pretty good return to form last time when trying to make all. Hard place to do at Southwell but Lingfield should suit better. Could face pace pressure from Smart Deal though.

16:45 Lingfield - Harb

Should get a decent race set up here, sitting mid-division off a strong pace. Re-opposes with Night On Earth but is 5lb better off now. Back to a mark where he's been in and around when winning his 3 handicaps.

Friday

17:07 Wolves - Triple Jaye

Has to be well handicapped now, has won his only previous classified race some time ago now but has won off handicap marks as high as 67 & 65. Has shown plenty enough to still be encouraged in handicaps, travelling strongly. Should go well in this lesser opposition.

Saturday

15:15 Newbury - Tellherthename

The Betfair hurdle is one of the most competitive handicaps in the Calendar with a number of unexposed challengers from both sides of the Irish Sea looking to take home the prize. Novices historically have a tremendous record in the race and my selection Tellherthename falls right into this category. 

The handicapper is giving him a massive chance in this contest off a mark of 135 with his nose defeat behind subsequent Grade 1 winner Jango Baie representing an excellent piece of form. You can completely discount his run in the aforementioned Grade 1 at Christmas as he lost his action in the testing Aintree ground and has since indicated to us that run will just be an anamoly with a 14 length thrashing of albeit inferior rivals at Huntingdon in January. Everything suggests to me that the Ben Pauling trained gelding could be well ahead of his mark and be the stereotypical graded horse in a handicap. The booking of Harry Cobden is a serious statement of intent and securing the services of the best jockey this side of the water shows just what they think of his chances. One caveat to this is however the weather as the Trainer has stated he will only run the horse on good ground, with the forecast not looking too pleasant at Newbury as the weekend approaches there is a possibility that he doesn’t take up this assignment. For this reason we’ll keep an eye on the situation as the week progresses and if the weather gods are shining in our favour he’ll be a definite bet in the race.

20:00 Wolves - Furzig

Is a very good horse in this grade and showed enough recently to suggest a win is close. Is declared tomorrow however, so will see what happens with that.

Sunday

13:57 Lingfield - Repartee

Should've won earlier this week but went too wide off the bend and gave up vital ground. Early jockey booking suggests Oisin will ride. Will be having a good bet on this should the race set up suit.

14:27 Lingfield - Ten O'clock

Turned out to be a decent enough race for the grade, winner won and place since, 2nd bolted up last night. Saffie wasn't overly busy in the saddle here, did see 2 goes of the whip between the 2 & the 1 pole then hands and heels home. Could run much better here.

Monday

19:30 Wolves - Dembe

Another that's incredibly well handicapped, drop in grade a major positive and back on his 2nd winning mark which he made a mockery of. Market will tell the story here.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

The Neighsayers - Weekly Eye-Catchers 23rd - 29th September 2024

Weekly Eyecatchers 23 rd  – 29 th  September 2024   23 rd  September – 7:30 Wolverhampton    Breccia   Come from miles back here off a muddling pace, was stuck behind a horse who was getting eased off at a crucial stage, should have won imo and should be kept on side over staying trips   25 th  September – 6:00 Kempton    Nuptown Girl    Missed break and was slow into stride, green in rear and was always niggled slightly, race had already developed infront of her but she did run on well under tender handling. Will know much more next time out and could improve further for 7f+   27 th  September  - 8:00 Wolverhampton    Bay Of Naples    Hasn’t won for a while but his run here showed enough to me that he could be winning very soon. Raced pretty fresh here after 1 month off the track, raced handy and just got abit tired late on, will come on bundles for this. 17th October at Southwell f...
Read more

The Neighsayers - Friday 13th September

  No blog yesterday for the first day of the Leger meeting, mainly due to uncertainty around the ground we were getting. We’re back for day 2 though. 15:00 Doncaster - Big Mojo A lot to like about this horses chance today, starting with the drop back to minimum trip, showed his usual pace at York but failed to stay. Looks to be plenty of pace on in here too with Aesterius drawn on his side and then King’s Call, Zayer and Tropical Storm over the other side. If he sit’s just off these and strikes late he should emulate last year’s success for connections with Big Evs. A somewhat shock winner at Goodwood but should that was no fluke when running a good race at York when not staying as I’ve mentioned.  Selection - Big Mojo 5/2 General - 1pt win 16:10 Doncaster - Beatrice Shilling This favourite, Cabrera has to be taken on for me. So will be going in with Beatrice Shilling here. Without getting all cliche, she was doing her best work late at Salisbury and prove she stayed the trip,...
Read more

The Neighsayers - Thursday 5th September

 Nice to get on the board for September yesterday with Snow Berry winning at 15/2 (or 9/1 if you had the luxury), but with the 2pt bet going down it wasn't as good as we'd hoped for, but profit on the day nevertheless. 17:35 Lingfield - Ormolulu Think this is well worth an each way bet now seeing 7 furlongs for the first time and returning to the all-weather. Dropped down in the handicap considerably this year, beginning on 79 and comes here off 70 with the jockey claiming 3. This is the lowest grade of race she's ever contested too, being a 51-70 and now in a fillies only race that can only be a positive too. The favourite takes up a lot of the market here and he's not guaranteed to get his own way in front this time, with Twilight Dancer and Beveragino in the race and I think he's well worth taking on. She was keen in her 3 year old campaign but the hood seemed to have worked the oracle there and hopefully can continue to do so with the slower tempo of a 6 furlong...
Read more