The Neighsayers - Ayr Gold Cup Weekend

A competitive days racing with some trappy handicaps and we’ve tried our best to tackle them. Let’s hope we have a successful day and you do if you’re following. Here we go…


2:25 Ayr Silver Cup – 6f Handicap 

 

Best handicaps of the year in my opinion, and it would be rude not to have a good stab at the race with the extra places on offer. My bet here comes in the form of the Jane Chapple-Hyam trained APLOMB, who has been ridiculously Eye-Catching in his 2 previous starts and looks primed for a big pot. 

 

Had an interrupted campaign of recently having decent size breaks in-between, but in his last 2 runs he showed his old spark and arguably should have won both races if he was given better rides. Held up in rear, always finding trouble and flying home late, jockey error in my opinion as he could have plotted an easier passage in both runs. By hook or by crook, APLOMB has found himself in here 7lb lower than his last winning mark, and 8lb lower when finishing 6th in the race last year, putting him nicely handicapped for a another go at the Silver Cup.

 

Personally, I feel he is in the best form Hes been in for a while, and he is primed for a massive run here. The binman who’s rode him in the last 2 runs has somehow kept the ride, so I’m hoping Hes finally learnt how to ride this horse, 3rd time lucky maybe. We may know abit more about the draw after the preceding races. 


Selection - Aplomb EW 6pl (Betfair, Paddy 10/1, William Hill 17/2, Bet365 8/1)



3:45 York - 7f Handicap


I have absolutely no qualms in betting this lightly raced filly based on what she’s done so far. NIBRAS ANGEL wasn’t disgraced last time when 8th of 10 in a group 3 and this is a marked drop in class, aided further by 3lb age allowance and the jockey’s 7lb claim, she’s absolutely thrown in IMO.


Talks of her comfortably being a graded horse before her 2nd start at Thirsk where she dispatched of a James Ferguson runner with consummate ease, who’s since placed in a handicap off a mark 82 which probably would’ve seen her run credibly here.


She just didn’t see out the mile last time and dropped back to 7 in a handicap I can see her out running her odds massively. She still holds 2 graded entries including one in the sun chariot (she has held this for a while) and recently given a group 2 entry, giving every indication she’s still up to that level at home.


She seem’s tactically versatile with a good turn of foot which should be perfect for York if she can get rolling under the young claimer and I like her chances a lot here.


Selection - Nibras Angel EW (16/1 General 5pl)


4:20 York - 5f Handicap


A typically trappy 5 furlong sprint however, this horse has been in good enough form in this grade to make him a speculative each way play here. VENTURA EXPRESS ran a career best last time out I’d say in a better race than this, giving every indication he’s ready to strike while the Iron is hot.


He stays further than 5 so a good pace to

aim should ensure he see’s this trip out well in this ground, which I have no concerns over. Pace angles galore here with Intrinsic Bond, Fine Wine, Proverb, Hyperfocus, Good Earth and One Night Stand all wanting to lead this should be run at a serious pace leaving this to a closer.


So the race should be run to suit and at the prices he’s an appealing bet for me. There is a slight draw concern based on previous meetings at York this year but they were on quicker ground, so hopefully slower ground minimises that and we can be there at the finish.


Selection - Ventura Express EW (Bet365 33/1 6pl, William Hill 14/1 5pl, 12/1 General)


4:25 Newbury


In the conditions, I think this one is a belting each way proposition. SPANISH STAR comes alive at the back end of the year when the ground comes up soft and that’s exactly what we have here at Newbury.


He’s been in rude health this year, winning on ratting ground on Oaks day at Epsom, over further than ideal and he was then 5th in the Buckingham palace just not lasting the 7 furlongs there. He’s since been 7th in the stewards cup in the soup, which was coincidentally the last race run at goodwood that week due to the conditions.


He was still in form the last time he ran just slowly away which cost him his chances of winning, but did well to get 3rd in the circumstances so he should go well here.


Selection - Spanish Star EW (6/1 bet365 4pl, 6/1 General 3pl)


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