The Neighsayers - Racing League Week 3
With just a week in between fixtures this week, there was no time to lick our wounds on our London and The South bet, with South Wales pulling further away. This week the racing league goes to Windsor, which is the home track for London and The South, so let's hope Chapman has them lined up for us. Now, let's get into the racing.
Race 1 - 6F Nursery 2YO Only
The return to Windsor, see's the return of Sean Levey to the racing league, which is where we'll begin this week. PINK SATIN made a successful debut over C&D, although stalls weren't in use due to thunder and lightning I'm not sure how literally I can take that form because of that, however, plenty of promise came from the 2nd start when attempting to give 6lb to now listed winner, Shuwari. He was just a bit one paced over that trip, having travelled well for a long way. Now going back down in trip I think he will be primed to run a big race.
Plenty of pace in the race to suit the run style too and further aide his strong travelling nature. Acer, Eminny, Perta Celera likely to be prominent we should be bang there at the finish.
Selection - Pink Satin (6/1 Bet365, 5/1 General)
Race 2 - 6F Handicap 3YO+
These selection's aren't just based off London and The South winning, I Promise. CAPOTE'S DREAM has ran well in defeat recently, where races haven't particularly run to suit. He likes to come off a decent pace and with a couple likely to go forward, Aphelios, Mattice and team mate Antiphon will likely head forward and take each other on giving Sean Levey the opportunity to give CAPOTE'S DREAM a quiet ride and smuggle him into the race late on.
Call Me Ginger and Conquistador could still be well handicapped but I think with the selection finally getting a race ran to suit, he's the bet here.
Selection - Capote's Dream (7/1 General, 13/2 Bet365)
Race 3 - 5F Handicap 3YO+
Crimson Angel is in need of headgear I think, she likes to look around and I think with the pace pressure likely, I'd make that a big negative here. She'd be a bet in the future in Blinkers. Also I'm not a fan of Libra Tiger, she made hard work of finding winning opportunities in lower grades and she should find this a bridge too far. Now that's the market too ruled out, I'd like to look a bit further down.
CLIPSHAM LA HABANA in my eyes is still unexposed, particularly on turf. He was too fresh over C&D on his first start this year when badly in need of the run. That was also his turf debut so I can ignore that run. In two starts since he's finished 2nd twice over 6 furlongs, but has looked all speed from the front in the process, so I'm encouraged with the step back to 5F. There is a likely pace pressure here, but he stays further than the 5F and stays it well so I think he's the one to beat here.
Selection - Clipsham La Habana (8/1 Bet365, 15/2 Coral, Ladbrokes, 7/1 BF, Paddy, 13/2 Hills)
Race 4 - 1M Handicap 3YO Only
I'm looking to "The Scottish" James Ferguson here and his runner, CHEALMY. The horse is at home at a mile having been an obvious non-stayer in both attempts over 10 furlongs and think there's still more to come off a mark of 82. She's yet to encounter fast ground, which Siyouni's are often better for and by the off time tomorrow, we should have it.
She's also a very strong traveller if the two pace angles, Rievaulx River and Achillea do go forward it should ensure we don't come off the bridle too early and back to the mile should see out the race better.
Selection - Chealmy (11/1 Bet365, 10/1 General)
Race 5 - 1M Handicap 3YO+
Normality resumes in this event, METAL MERCHANT should just go very close here. He's ran very creditably the last twice, having lost his races due to interference. With those two runs coming on ground with give in it too, which doesn't look to suit ideally, onto quicker ground tomorrow he should just win.
I don't think Chartwell House is a miler and the same with Mobashr and the rest of the field is much of muchness, it's not a great race. The only one who would appeal is Ana Gold.
I apologise there isn't much tactical insight in this, but I think he just wins.
Selection - Metal Merchant (7/1 General)
Race 6 - 1M 3F 99Y Handicap 3YO+
I quite like the chances of the Hughie Morrison trained, STAY WELL. Form figures can look uninspiring but I think she's been running at the wrong trip amongst also the wrong class. She tried 2 mile last time and didn't stay and before that she tried a heritage handicap, which is definitely not at her level.
She's tried a mile and a half handicap's in class 3 company or lower and has form figures of 311 so I make this 5 year old an excellent each way betting proposition. She likes to sit just behind the leaders so she should get a good position which is crucial when going round the figure of 8 course at Windsor over this trip.
He should be there at the finish here and has much better chances than his odds suggest.
Selection - Stay Well E/W 4 places (14/1 Bet365, Hills, Coral, Betfair, Paddy Power)
Race 7 - 1M 2F Handicap 3YO+
Very trappy race this and so I'll be playing cautiously and each way, but I think REACH has plenty more to offer based off her mark of 82. She looks to be in love with quick ground which she should get together looking at the forecast.
She never made the track until 4 where she must've had some serious problems as she was a 260 thousand foal but was sold at 3 for just 1500 guineas. She's clearly very talented and with entries this weekend too, it'll be interesting to see if she's declared to run under a penalty.
Tiffany is a typical Sir Mark horse but how much more does she have in hand? I'm not sure and I think Cumulonimbus has reached his limit now. Tregony is a 4 time racing league winner but I don't think she can win neither off 90.
The Ado McGuinness trained Star Harbour probably has a good a chance as any after his facile success at Chepstow last
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