The Neighsayers - Epsom Oak's Day Tips

2:35 - Racehorse Lotto Handicap 1m ½f

 

The Horse I want to be onside here is RHOSCOLYN. Owned by a very shrood outfit, this horse continues with promise despite tumbling in the weights. Perhaps a bit more cut in the ground would be better for RHOSCOLYN, but with the news of watering all week I don’t see the ground being an issue. The horse is 1/1 at the track and was last seen finishing midfield in the Victoria Cup at ascot, racing on the dreaded “far side rail” and showing again that his dropping mark is there to be exploited. I like others in the Neighsayers expected him to be put away for a Royal Ascot handicap but lining up here tells me he’s bang ready to take a big pot, and I’ll advise a play each way here. 

 

Selection – Rhoscolyn 6/1 EW

 

3:10 - Dalhbury Coronation Cup 1m4f

 

Another Group 1 which has only attracted a small field, but 5 of which set this up to be an absolute cracker. The winner for me in this is last year’s derby 2nd, WESTOVER. Few might argue last season’s derby form has taken a slight blow with Desert Crowns defeat last weekend, and a few may raise eyebrows on the form WESTOVER has produced since this weekend last year, but I was very taken with WESTOVER’S Meydan run behind what can only be described as “an absolute tool” in Equinox. He was best of the rest there and I’m hoping “Raph or Ralph’s” lad has taken a step forward on his 3yo career and bangs clear of these lot. Hurricane Lane is not the force of old and is certainly not one to trust as each race goes on. Emily Upjohn was the bookies fav Antepost but I feel the market has corrected itself, she may need the run. Point Lonsdale shaped to me Asif he Epsom would not suit and I think needs definite cut in the ground. We can’t ever write ‘Ze Germans’ off but I do believe Tunnes may be outclassed in this field. 

 

Selection – Westover 2/1 

5:10 Epsom - Surrey Stakes 7f

9 go to post in this years Surrey Stakes, with Holguin installed as the 6/4 fav after a very good run behind Angel Bleu at Haydock only earlier this month. I feel the market has a nice set up for a dirty EW bet here and I feel the right horse for that type of bet is the Roger Varian trained OLIVIA MARALDA. She ran a a well beaten 8th in the 1000G but that wasn't devoid of promise as she wouldn't have been in love with the ground that day. Drops back a furlong in trip what I think will suit as she shows bags of pace. Faster ground will aid her chances heavily. The Neighsayers gave her a good shout in the Fred Darling before she was pulled out due to the ground. She will be much more at home on this ground, and her 2yo form with the likes of Mediate puts her in with a great chance in what looks a winnable race for her. Abit of pace on here so I would like to see her sat mid div so she isn't vulnrable to a potential burn up. Kevin jumps on for the first time, what could go wrong. money back if she places, dirty EW bet at 5s (William Hills) advised.

Selection - Olivia Maralda 5/1 EW

5:45 - Winners Wear Cavani Handicap 7f

 

Plenty of exposed types in this field, which led me to looking at the 3YO’s in the field, particularly with the weight for age allowance. I think the two sheikh Mohamed Obaid Al-Maktoum pair hold the cards in this event, but I’m siding with SIGNCASTLE CITY. Although he’s 7lb inferior of the other horse in the formidable yellow silks of this owner, Clochette, I think we’re on the right horse here. Less weight on his back and arguably the better form in the book I think he’s priced all wrong here, particularly keeping him at the 7 furlong trip.

 

He was beaten comfortably by the current favourite Urban Sprawl (5/1) as a 2YO but the winner had it all his own way that day and there’s a 13lb swing in the weights since that day, which I’d say that puts things into our favour considerably. The selection had to give Urban Sprawl 8lb that day, but here, he receives 5lb. 

 

Along with the swing in the weights, I’m not certain that Urban Sprawl will get things all his own way out in front, with Clochette likely to go forward now back to a reasonable level and along with Wyvern who could go forward and apply pressure mid-race, to put him under pressure for longer.

 

We’re likely to be held in mid division here, hopefully getting plenty of cover to avoid him being keen, such was the case at HQ last time when he ran a probably career best. On his season appearance he was delivered from rear, but fought for his head a long way and that paid towards the finish, as well as being short of room. He still managed a respectable 5th, in what’s a race worth following for handicaps going into the summer.

 

Of these who are exposed, I can’t see much weighted to go well, apart from Darkness who’s from a yard who are no stranger to winning a big handicap pot. However, I think we have the best handicapped horse in the race along with a race set up to suit and I can’t see us out there frame. I’m advising SIGNCASTLE CITY as an each way selection who is 15/2 4 places with William Hill early doors. 

 

Selection – Signcastle City 15/2 EW

Good Luck on whoever you are backing and as always, Be Lucky.